Market Tools

Energy Market Tools

Interactive calculators and reference data for C&I energy buyers, independent power producers, and data center energy developers — covering PJM capacity markets, gas-to-power economics, BTM generation, and Northeast gas supply.

Estimates are illustrative and for budgeting purposes only. Not a price quote. Last updated: August 2026.

01–04 · PJM Capacity 05 · Spark Spread 06 · BTM Economics 07 · Gas Hub Reference
01 — Historical Context
PJM BRA Clearing Prices by Delivery Year
PJM's Base Residual Auction procures capacity in advance of each delivery year. PJM is currently operating on a compressed auction schedule as it works back toward its traditional three-year-forward cycle. Locational constraints can cause individual PJM LDAs to clear above the RTO price — in the 2025/26 BRA, BGE and Dominion cleared materially above the RTO price. The 2028/29 BRA cleared July 14, 2026.
02 — Zone Reference
Select Your PJM Zone
Click your load zone to see capacity pricing context. Prices shown are 2025/26 delivery year results — the most recent year with complete zone-specific data. For 2026/27 and later delivery years, confirm zone-specific results at pjm.com.
03 — Cost Estimator
PJM Capacity Cost Estimator
Estimates annual retail capacity charges based on a customer's PJM Capacity Peak Load Contribution (PLC) and the applicable BRA clearing price.
Your Capacity Peak Load Contribution, assigned by your utility or retail supplier. Check your electric bill, PLC notification, or ask your supplier.
Adjustments from PLC to final UCAP obligation, including zonal UCAP scaling and Forecast Pool Requirement. Use 1.00 if unknown.
BRA Clearing Price ($/MW-day)
UCAP Obligation (MW)
Est. Monthly Charge
This estimator is for budgeting and educational purposes. Actual retail capacity charges may also reflect utility-specific PLC calculations, zonal scaling, Forecast Pool Requirement adjustments, supplier methodology, losses, taxes, margins, and contract terms. Consult your supplier or utility for actual charges.
Inputs changed — recalculate to update.
04 — Cost Composition
What Makes Up a C&I Electricity Bill?
A commercial and industrial electricity bill is built from several distinct components, each driven by different market and tariff mechanics. Most buyers focus on the energy commodity and underweight capacity, which in high-auction years can move materially. Knowing what drives each line is where procurement leverage comes from.
01
Energy Commodity
The wholesale cost of the electrons. Moves with gas prices, load, weather, and the shape of your usage across hours.
02
Capacity
Your share of PJM's resource adequacy cost. Driven by your capacity tag and the BRA clearing price for your zone and delivery year.
03
Transmission
Recovery of the high-voltage grid. Driven by your demand during the transmission owner's peak windows and approved network revenue requirements.
04
Distribution
The local utility's poles and wires, set by regulated tariff. Largely a function of your rate class, voltage level, and metered demand.
05
Ancillary Services & Riders
Grid reliability services plus assorted regulatory riders and surcharges. Individually small, collectively not negligible.
The share of each component varies materially by utility, tariff, customer class, load profile, capacity obligation, and supply contract. This framework is illustrative and is not a bill benchmark.
IPP & Data Center Tools Power Producer · BTM Generation · Gas Supply
05 — Power Producer Tool
Spark Spread Calculator
The spark spread is the difference between power market revenue and natural-gas fuel cost per MWh of generation. A positive spark spread means power revenue exceeds gas fuel cost before variable O&M, emissions compliance, startup costs, and other operating expenses. Negative power prices and negative gas prices occur in real wholesale markets — both are permitted inputs here.
4,380 hrs = 50% capacity factor. 8,760 = baseload.
Fuel Cost ($/MWh)
Annual Gross Margin
Gas Breakeven ($/MMBtu)
Inputs changed — recalculate to update.
Spark Spread at Varying Gas Prices (chart updates on calculate)

Shows gross spark spread ±$2 gas price around your input at your stated power price and heat rate. Does not include variable O&M, fixed costs, emissions, or capacity revenue.

06 — Data Center / BTM Tool
BTM On-Site Generation Economics
Compares the economics of BTM on-site gas generation against purchasing from the grid. By default the comparison is fully loaded: capital (via a capital recovery factor, not a simple interest charge), fixed O&M, firm gas transport, and outage backup power are all included, so BTM is measured apples-to-apples against the all-in grid rate. Every assumption is editable under Advanced Assumptions; zero out any line to exclude it. Interconnection and project-development timelines remain a major constraint for new large loads and generation. Even as PJM and NYISO reform their study processes, permitting, network upgrades, equipment lead times, gas infrastructure, transmission constraints, and construction requirements can materially delay commercial operation.
% of time at average load (e.g. 85% for a data center baseline load). Distinct from generator capacity factor.
Include energy commodity, capacity, transmission, distribution, and all riders. Ask your supplier for a fully loaded $/MWh.
Use your actual delivery-point price, not Henry Hub. See Tool 07 for Northeast basis guidance.
Typical range: $8–$14/MWh for recip engines; $3–$8 for gas turbines.
Advanced Assumptions (capital, fixed costs, availability)

These default to real, non-zero values so the comparison is apples-to-apples out of the box. The capital line uses a capital recovery factor (return of and return on capital), not a simple interest charge. Zero out any line you want to exclude.

The $3,500/kW default represents a more complete, resilient data-center power block, potentially including redundancy, balance-of-plant, and islanding equipment. A basic non-islanded reciprocating-engine project may be lower, roughly $1,500–$2,500/kW. Not every BTM project costs $3,500/kW.
Illustrative financing assumption used to levelize the build. Actual required returns vary materially by project risk, ownership, and capital structure. 8% is on the conservative end; 10–12% is common.
Amortization period. Annualized capital = overnight × CRF(rate, life).
Energy not served during planned or forced outages is purchased from the grid at your stated rate. Default 95%.
Fixed annual maintenance for the generation fleet. ~$20–$40/kW-yr for recip engines.
Fixed annual cost of firm gas transportation to your delivery point. Often the largest omitted cost in BTM estimates.
Standby or backup demand charges some utilities levy on self-generators. Verify against your tariff; default 0.
Cost ComponentAnnual Amount
Annual Grid Cost (baseline)
BTM Annual Cost Components
Gas Fuel Cost
Variable O&M
Fixed O&M
Annualized Capital Cost
Gas Transport / Reservation
Utility Standby / Backup
Residual Grid Purchases (generator offline hours)
Total Estimated BTM Annual Cost
Estimated Annual Cost Difference
BTM cost includes only items entered above. A complete economic assessment requires capex, financing terms, firm gas transport, utility standby/backup rates, emissions compliance, grid interconnection costs, project permitting, insurance, and tax treatment. These inputs vary significantly by project and jurisdiction. Do not present this output as guaranteed savings.
Inputs changed — recalculate to update.
07 — Gas Supply Reference
Northeast Natural Gas Hub Basis Reference
Henry Hub is a reference price. Your plant or data center pays what it costs to deliver gas to your specific receipt point — which in the Northeast can be dramatically higher, especially in winter. Basis risk (the price differential between Henry Hub and your delivery point) is often the largest unhedged exposure in BTM and IPP fuel supply agreements.

Illustrative Historical Winter Basis Ranges. These ranges illustrate historical basis volatility and relative regional pipeline risk over recent winter periods. They are not current forward-market quotes and should not be used as executable pricing. Actual daily basis varies materially from these ranges and can exceed them during extreme weather or pipeline outages. Source: ICE, broker market data, pipeline tariff filings.

Hub / Delivery PointPipelineRegion Illustrative Non-Winter BasisIllustrative Winter Basis Range Notes for BTM / IPP Fuel Supply
Henry Hub
Benchmark
Sabine Pipe LineErath, Louisiana $0.00 (index) $0.00 (index) NYMEX natural gas futures benchmark. No physical delivery in the Northeast — the difference between Henry Hub and your delivery point is what you actually pay.
Transco Zone 6 NY
Constrained
Transcontinental Gas Pipe Line (Transco) New York City pricing location; parts of the NYC metro area +$0.25 to +$1.50 +$2 to +$20+ Primary NYC city-gate pricing point on the Transco system. Note: New Jersey project delivery pricing may reference Transco Zone 6 non-NY, TETCO M-3, or other points depending on physical delivery location — do not assume Zone 6 NY applies to all NJ projects. Transco is the most heavily subscribed pipeline in the Northeast corridor; winter spikes are common when firm capacity is fully allocated.
Algonquin Citygate
Highly Constrained
Algonquin Gas Transmission New England (CT, MA, RI, NH) +$0.50 to +$2.00 +$5 to +$35+ Historically the most constrained pipeline hub in the country during cold snaps. New England pipeline infrastructure is severely capacity-limited. Basis spiked above $35/MMBtu during Winter Storm Elliott (December 2022). Any data center or power plant in New England should treat basis hedging at contract execution as non-negotiable. Consider firm transport acquisition and/or alternative supply options.
Tennessee Zone 6 (New England)
Highly Constrained
Tennessee Gas Pipeline New England (MA, CT, NY border) +$0.25 to +$1.50 +$3 to +$30+ Parallel path to Algonquin serving New England. Similar constraint dynamics to Algonquin Citygate; the two pipelines serve overlapping markets and typically move in tandem during cold weather events. Both should be considered in supply portfolio construction for New England generation.
TETCO M-3
Moderate–High
Texas Eastern Transmission (TETCO) Philadelphia / South Jersey / Delmarva +$0.10 to +$0.75 +$1 to +$8 Primary delivery point for Philadelphia-area industrial customers and South Jersey generators. Less volatile than Algonquin/Tenn Z6 but subject to winter tightness. Relevant for PJM PECO and PSEG zone generators and BTM data center projects in the Philadelphia metro corridor.
Eastern Gas South
(formerly Dominion South)
Appalachian Discount
Equitrans / Equitable Gas SW Pennsylvania / WV Marcellus Basin −$0.25 to −$2.00 −$0.50 to −$3.00 Trades at a persistent discount to Henry Hub because Appalachian (Marcellus/Utica) production regularly exceeds local takeaway capacity. A generator or data center with physical access to this point has a structural fuel cost advantage over those buying at constrained Northeast delivery points. The challenge is securing firm transport capacity out of the Appalachian basin to where the gas is needed.
Waha (Permian Basin)
Often at or Below Zero
Various (El Paso, Permian Basin pipelines) Permian Basin, West Texas −$1.00 to −$5.00+ −$0.50 to −$3.00 Shown for comparative context. Waha can trade at or below zero when Permian production exceeds available takeaway capacity, a recurring dynamic in recent years. A Northeast project cannot access Waha economics without the pipeline capacity to move gas east — but this hub illustrates how dramatically basis varies across the country and why delivery-point basis risk must be explicitly addressed in every fuel supply agreement.

This is a qualitative planning reference comparing the relative basis and pipeline risk of major U.S. and Northeast delivery points. The ranges are illustrative orders of magnitude drawn from historical winter behavior, not a current forward curve, a settlement study, or an executable quote. Actual daily basis at your delivery point varies materially and can exceed these ranges during extreme weather or pipeline outages. For firm supply structuring and basis hedging at your specific delivery point, contact Digby Ferrara at Aggressive Energy. Sources: ICE, pipeline tariff filings, and public EIA and pipeline references. Last reviewed: August 2026.

Want to run the numbers on your specific project?

These tools provide a framework — but real project economics depend on your specific delivery point, firm transport availability, interconnection status, and deal structure. That's the work I do with data center developers, BTM project teams, and C&I buyers across PJM and NYISO.

Discuss Your Project →
Data Sources & Methodology
PJM Capacity Market (Tools 01–03): BRA clearing prices from PJM Markets & Operations public auction results (pjm.com). Delivery years 2025/26–2028/29. The 2028/29 BRA cleared July 14, 2026. Day counts reflect actual calendar days in each June 1–May 31 delivery year; 2027/28 contains 366 days (includes February 29, 2028). Zone-specific clearing prices for 2026/27 and later delivery years should be verified at pjm.com.

Spark Spread (Tool 05): Formula: Spark Spread ($/MWh) = Power Price − (Gas Price × Heat Rate ÷ 1,000). Heat rate conversion: Btu/kWh ÷ 1,000 = MMBtu/MWh (e.g., 7,000 Btu/kWh = 7.0 MMBtu/MWh). Annual gross margin = Spark Spread × Plant MW × Dispatch Hours. Gas breakeven = Power Price ÷ Heat Rate (MMBtu/MWh). Results are gross margin before O&M, fixed costs, emissions, and financing.

BTM Economics (Tool 06): Annual facility energy = Peak MW × Facility Load Factor × 8,760 hours. BTM fuel cost = Annual MWh × (Gas Price × Heat Rate ÷ 1,000). Annualized capital = Overnight $/kW × CRF, where CRF = r(1+r)^n ÷ ((1+r)^n − 1) at cost of capital r over life n. Fixed O&M, gas transport, and standby applied on a per-kW basis against facility peak MW × 1,000. Residual grid purchases calculated from generator availability shortfall. Capital, fixed O&M, gas transport, and backup power are loaded by default for an apples-to-apples comparison.

Gas Hub Reference (Tool 07): Basis ranges are illustrative, drawn from historical ICE settlement data and published pipeline market references. Not a forward curve or executable quote. Last reviewed August 2026.

These tools are provided for educational and budgeting purposes by Digby Ferrara, Director of Energy Services, Aggressive Energy. They do not constitute a price quote, investment advice, or legal advice.